Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.943924 3.509311 4.123687 4.837231 5.639408 6.509683 7.521446
2026-01-04 2.317247 3.100261 4.021751 5.170958 6.549927 8.135692 10.080662
2026-01-11 1.850359 2.762882 3.918896 5.453924 7.400045 9.746521 12.748240
2026-01-18 1.419881 2.372819 3.671995 5.503435 7.945573 11.016535 15.090486
2026-01-25 1.040469 1.961774 3.317407 5.345531 8.184063 11.895871 16.985143
2026-02-01 0.770781 1.644119 3.029978 5.223529 8.432666 12.777793 18.909016
2026-02-08 0.572473 1.387275 2.781657 5.111208 8.662331 13.624397 20.806850
2026-02-15 0.432946 1.193467 2.594468 5.056592 8.952703 14.551367 22.837553
2026-02-22 0.365438 1.120706 2.596623 5.293937 9.684155 16.124828 25.813102
2026-03-01 0.284694 0.992776 2.475141 5.306605 10.060552 17.193180 28.110298
2026-03-08 0.194764 0.806139 2.203979 5.023086 9.935564 17.502924 29.320724
2026-03-15 0.134708 0.667224 1.996670 4.820713 9.914581 17.951857 30.731974
2026-03-22 0.115186 0.642496 2.034477 5.086970 10.707989 19.703514 34.158836
2026-03-29 0.103462 0.639163 2.120580 5.454415 11.696128 21.797815 38.165922
2026-04-05 0.090071 0.623482 2.174543 5.761934 12.595402 23.783829 42.067806
2026-04-12 0.069092 0.564562 2.110328 5.821417 13.056225 25.085482 44.965129
2026-04-19 0.046349 0.477060 1.951020 5.661332 13.105793 25.719157 46.849504
2026-04-26 0.030748 0.406315 1.817408 5.536679 13.205668 26.430439 48.865608
2026-05-03 0.019823 0.346091 1.696118 5.420941 13.307913 27.140174 50.887917
2026-05-10 0.012876 0.300549 1.606330 5.364813 13.516649 28.030859 53.214576
2026-05-17 0.010605 0.293198 1.642248 5.613431 14.335405 29.986483 57.290998
2026-05-24 0.007003 0.261918 1.585563 5.627019 14.684057 31.139727 60.096410
2026-05-31 0.003135 0.206061 1.416061 5.330894 14.382676 31.144725 61.028823